DFG-FOR 1695: Agricultural Landscapes under Global Climate Change – Processes and Feedbacks on a Regional Scale

Status: abgeschlossen

Projektbeginn: 01.02.2012

Projektende: 31.12.2018

Förderkennzeichen: DFG: FOR 1695

Projekt-Homepage: klimawandel.uni-hohenheim.de

Schlagworte: Agrarlandschaften, Klimaänderung, Landwirtschaft und Umwelt, Modellierung, Nachhaltigkeit, Regionalmodell

Beschreibung

Aufbauend auf dem DFG-Verbundprojekt PAK 346 (2008-2011) untersucht die DFG-Forschergruppe 1695 seit 2012 in zehn Teilprojekten die Folgen des globalen Klimawandels für die Struktur und die Funktionen von Agrarlandschaften auf regionaler Skala. Gemeinsames Ziel der Arbeitsgruppen aus Hohenheim, München und Gießen ist es, durch eine Kombination aus integrierter Modellierung, intensiven Feldmessungen und kontrollierten Experimenten zu einem verbesserten Prozessverständnis und einer besseren Kenntnis der Wechselwirkungen zwischen Landoberfläche und Atmosphäre beizutragen, um so Projektionen der Landschaftsentwicklung und möglicher Anpassungsstrategien bis 2030 ableiten zu können. Dazu werden hochaufgelöste regionale Klima-, Landnutzungs- und Pflanzenwachstumsmodelle mit sozio-ökonomischen Modellen gekoppelt und so ein neuartiges Landsystemmodell entwickelt. Mit speziellen Messgeräten und Fernerkundungsverfahren werden in den zwei Modellregionen Kraichgau und Mittlere Schwäbische Alb Daten zu Energie- und Stoffflüssen zwischen dem Boden-Pflanze-System und der Atmosphäre erhoben. In Klimakammern werden künftige CO2- und Klimabedingungen simuliert, um die Auswirkungen auf den Ertrag von Kulturpflanzen und die Qualität der erzeugten Nahrungsmittel zu untersuchen. Die in Feld- und Klimakammeruntersuchungen sowie in Betriebsbefragungen in den Modellregionen gewonnenen Daten dienen wiederum zur Verbesserung von Modellkomponenten und zur Validierung des neuen Landsystemmodells.

Nach einer positiven Begutachtung durch die DFG beginnt im Februar 2015 die zweite Phase der Projektförderung, in der die Forschergruppe 8 Teilprojekte hat. Die zweite Phase endet im September 2018.

Publikationen im Rahmen des Projekts

• Calibration and application of Aquaflex TDT soil water probes to measure the soil water dynamics of agricultural topsoil in Southwest Germany
  2015: Poltoradnev, M., Ingwersen, J., Streck, T.
  
• Experiences with WRF in EURO-CORDEX
  2014: Warrach-Sagi, K., Goergen, K., Vautard, R.
  
• Soil texture forcing data for the whole world for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model of the University of Hohenheim (UHOH) based on the Harmonized World Soil Database (HWSD) at 30 arc-second horizontal resolution.
  2014: Milovac, J., Ingwersen, J., Warrach-Sagi, K.
  
• Top soil texture forcing data for the area of Germany for the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model based on the Bodenubersichtskarte (BUK) at a scale 1:1000000 (BUK1000) and provided by the University of Hohenheim (UHOH),
  2014: Milovac, J., Ingwersen, J., Warrach-Sagi, K.
  
• Evaluating soil water content in a WRF-NOAH downscaling experiment
  2013: Greve, P., Warrach-Sagi, K., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Evaluation of a climate simulation in Europe based on the WRF-NOAH Model System: precipitation in Germany
  2013: Warrach-Sagi, K., Schwitalla, T., Wulfmeyer, V., Bauer, H.-S.
  
• The simulation of European heat waves from an ensemble of regional climate models within the EURO-CORDEX project
  2013: Vautard, R., Gobiet, A., Jacob, D., Belda, M., Colette, A., Deque, M., Fernandez, J., Garcia-Diez, M., Goergen, K., Guettler, I., Halenka, T., Keuler, K., Kotlarski, S., Nikulin, G., Patarcic, M., Suklitsch, M., Teichmann, C., Warrach-Sagi, K., Wulfmeyer,
  
• Assessing the relevance of subsurface processes for the simulation of evapotranspiration and soil moisture dynamics with CLM3.5: Comparison with field data and crop model simulations
  2013: Gayler, S., Ingwersen, J., Priesack, E., Wöhling, T., Wulfmeyer, V., Streck, T.
  
• Multiresponse, multiobjective calibration as a diagnostic tool to compare accuracy and structural limitations of five coupled soil-plant models and CLM3.5
  2013: Wöhling,T., Gayler, S., Priesack, E., Ingwersen, J., Wizemann, H.-D., Högy, P., Cuntz, M., Attinger, S., Wulfmeyer, V., Streck, T.
  
• High-resolution climate predictions and short-range forecasts
  2014: Warrach-Sagi, K., Milovac, J., Bauer, H.-S., Behrendt, A., Schwitalla, T., Späth, F., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Mechanisms controlling soil organic carbon composition pertaining to microbial decomposition of biochemically contrasting organic residues: Evidence from midDRIFTS peak area analysis
  2014: Kunlanit, B., Vityakon, P., Puttaso, A., Cadisch, G., Rasche, F.
  
• Incorporating dynamic root growth enhances the performance of Noah-MP at two contrasting winter wheat field sites
  2014: Gayler, S., Wöhling,T., Grzeschik, M., Ingwersen, J., Wizemann, H.-D., Warrach-Sagi, K., Högy, P., Attinger, S., Streck, T., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Statistical analysis of large simulated yield datasets for studying climate effects
  2015: Makowski, D., Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Bassu, S. et al.
  
• A review of the remote sensing of lower tropospheric thermodynamic profiles and its indispensable role for the understanding and the simulation of water and energy cycles
  2015: Wulfmeyer, V., Hardesty, R. M., Turner, D. D., Behrendt, A., Cadeddu, M. P., Di Girolamo, P., Schlüssel, P., Van Baelen, J., Zus, F.
  
• Process-based simulation of regional supply functions using farm-level and agent-based models
  2015: Troost, C., Berger, T.,
  
• Regional climate modeling on European scales: a joint standard evaluation of the EURO-CORDEX RCM ensemble
  2014: Kotlarski, S., Keuler, K., Christensen, O. B., Colette, A., Déqué, M., Gobiet, A., Goergen, K., Jacob, D., Lüthi, D., van Meijgaard, E., Nikulin, G., Schär, C., Teichmann, C., Vautard, R., Warrach-Sagi, K., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Agent-based Modelling of Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Options in Agriculture
  2014: Berger, T., Troost, C.
  
• Calibration of CO2 trapping in alkaline solutions during soil incubation at varying temperatures using a Respicond VI
  2014: Smirnova N., Demyan S., Rasche F., Cadisch G., Müller T.
  
• Quantifying different stabilities of soil organic matter in cropland at the regional scale: Integrating size/density separation and chemical oxidation
  2014: Fon L.
  
• Development of MidDRIFTS methodologies to support mapping of physico-chemical soil properties at the regional scale
  2014: Mirzaeitalarposhti R.
  
• midDRIFTS-based partial least square regression analysis allows predicting microbial biomass, enzyme activities and 16S rRNA gene abundance in soils of temperate grasslands
  2013: Rasche, F., Marhan, S., Berner, D., Keil, D., Kandeler, E., Cadisch, G.
  
• Combining a coupled FTIR-EGA system and in situ DRIFTS for studying soil organic matter in arable soils
  2013: Demyan, M.S., Rasche, F., Schütt, M., Smirnova, N., Schulz, E., and Cadisch, G.
  
• High-resolution climate predictions and short-range forecasts to improve the process understanding and the representation of land-surface interactions in the WRF model in Southwest Germany (WRFCLIM)
  2013: Warrach-Sagi, K., Bauer, H.-S., Branch, O., Milovac, J., Schwitalla, T., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Towards optimizing experiments for maximum-confidence model selection between different soil-plant models
  2013: Wöhling, T., Geiges, A., Nowak, W., Gayler, S., Högy, P., Wizemann, H.-D.
  
• The Influence of Climate Change on Short-term Farm Management – an Interdisciplinary Modelling Approach
  2013: Aurbacher, J., Reinmuth, E., Parker, P., Calberto, G., Steinbach, J., Ingwersen, J., Dabbert, S.
  
• Multiobjective calibration of coupled soil-vegetation-atmosphere models
  2012: Wöhling, T., Gayler, S., Ingwersen, J., Streck, T., Vrugt, J., Priesack, E.
  
• Agent-based Modelling in the Agricultural Economics Tradition of Recursive Farm Modelling and Adaptive Micro-Systems
  2012: Berger, T., Troost, C.
  
• Use of specific peaks obtained by diffuse reflectance Fourier transform mid-infrared spectroscopy to study the composition of organic matter in a Haplic Chernozem
  2012: Demyan, M.S., Rasche, F., Schulz, E., Breulmann, M., Müller, T., Cadisch, G.
  
• Combining peak- and chromatogram-based retention time alignment algorithms for multiple chromatography-mass spectrometry datasets
  2012: Hoffmann, N., Keck, M., Neuweger, H., Wilhelm, M., Högy, P., Niehaus, K., Stoye, J.
  
• A regional climate model simulation for EURO-CORDEX with the WRF model
  2013: Warrach-Sagi, K., Schwitalla, T., Bauer, H.-S., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Yield and yield quality of major cereals under climate change. In: Wake up before it is too late - Make agriculture truly sustainable now for food security in a changing climate. Chapter 1. Key development challenges of a fundamental transformation
  2013: Högy, P., Fangmeier, A.
  
• Effects of elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations on phloem sap composition of spring crops and aphid performance
  2013: Oehme, V., Högy, P., Zebitz, C.P.W., Fangmeier, A.
  
• Influence of climate change on short term management of field crops – A modelling approach
  2013: Aurbacher, J., Parker, P. S., Calberto Sánchez, G. A., Steinbach, J., Reinmuth, E., Ingwersen, J., Dabbert, S.
  
• Uncertainty in simulating wheat yields under climate change
  2013: Asseng, S., Ewert, F., Rosenzweig, C., et al.
  
• Modeling acclimation of leaf photosynthesis to atmospheric CO2 enrichment
  2013: Biernath, C.J., Bittner, S., Klein, C., Gayler, S., Hentschel, R., Hoffmann, P., Högy, P., Fangmeier, A., Priesack, E.
  
• Chemical and microbiological soil quality indicators and their potential to differentiate fertilization regimes in temperate agroecosystems
  2013: Giacometti, C., Demyan, M.S., Cavani, L., Marzadori, C., Ciavatta, C., Kandeler, E.
  
• Grain quality characteristics of spring wheat (Triticum aestivum) as affected by free-air CO2 enrichment
  2013: Högy, P., Brunnbauer, M., Koehler, P., Schwadorf, K., Breuer, J., Franzaring, J., Zhunusbayeva, D., Fangmeier, A.
  
• Pest and disease abundance and dynamics in wheat and oilseed rape as affected by elevated atmospheric CO2 concentrations
  2013: Oehme, V., Högy, P., Franzaring, J., Zebitz, C.P.W., Fangmeier, A.
  
• Agent-based modeling of agricultural adaptation to climate change in a mountainous area of Southwest Germany
  2012: Troost, C., Calberto, G., Berger, T., Ingwersen, J., Priesack, E., Warrach-Sagi, K., Walter, T.
  
• MidDRIFTS-PLSR-based quantification of physico-chemical soil properties across two agroecological zones in Southwest Germany: generic independent validation surpasses region specific cross-validation
  2015: Mirzaeitalarposhti, R., Demyan, M.S., Rasche, F., Poltoradnev, M., Cadisch, G., Müller, T.
  
• Field significance of performance measures in the context of regional climate model evaluation. Part 2: precipitation.
  2018: Ivanov, M., Warrach-Sagi, K., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Modeling perceptions of climatic risk in crop production
  2017: Reinmuth, E., Parker, P., Aurbacher, J., Högy, P., Dabbert, S.
  
• Evaluation of simulated transpiration from maize plants on lysimeters
  2017: Heinlein, F., Biernath, C., Klein, C., Thieme, C., Priesack, E.
  
• Energy balance closure on a winter wheat stand: comparing the eddy covariance technique with the soil water balance method
  2016: Imukova, K., Ingwersen, J., Hevart, M., Streck, T.
  
• Simulating regional climate-adaptive field cropping with fuzzy logic management rules and genetic advance
  2016: Parker, P., Ingwersen, J., Högy, P., Priesack, E., Aurbacher, J.
  
• Partitioning of ecosystem respiration in winter wheat and silage maize—modeling seasonal temperature effects
  2016: Demyan, M.S., Ingwersen, J., Nkwain Funkuin, Y., Ali, R.S., Mirzaeitalarposhti, R., Rasche, F., Poll, C., Müller, T., Streck, T., Kandeler, E., Cadisch, G.
  
• Mikrosimulation landwirtschaftlicher Produktion auf der Schwäbischen Alb - Klimaanpassungsforschung mit detaillierten Daten aus der Agrarstatistik
  2016: Troost, C.
  
• Investigation of PBL schemes combining the WRF model simulations with scanning water vapor differential absorption lidar measurements
  2016: Milovac, J., Warrach-Sagi, K., Behrendt, A., Späth, F., Ingwersen, J., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Determination of convective boundary layer entrainment fluxes, dissipation rates, and the molecular destruction of variances: Theoretical description and a strategy for Its confirmation with a novel lidar system synergy
  2016: Wulfmeyer, V., Muppa, S. K., Behrendt, A., Hammann, E., Späth, F., Sorbjan, Z., Turner, D. D., Hardesty, R. M.
  
• Toward more efficient model development for farming systems research – an integrative review
  2017: Reinmuth, E., Dabbert, S.
  
• CO2-induced changes in wheat grain composition: meta-analysis and response functions
  2017: Broberg, M., Högy, P., Pleijel, H.
  
• Contrasting effect of elevated atmospheric CO2 on the C/N ratio of faba bean and spring wheat residues exert only minor changes in the abundance and enzyme activities of soil proteolytic bacteria
  2017: Rasche, F., Kramer, S., Enowashua, E., Mackie, M., Högy, P., Marhan, S.
  
• Field significance of performance measures in the context of regional climate model evaluation. Part 1: temperature.
  2018: Ivanov, M., Warrach-Sagi, K., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• How well does Noah-MP simulate the regional mean and spatial variability of topsoil water content in two agricultural landscapes in southwest Germany?
  2018: Poltoradnev, M., Ingwersen, J., Imukova, K., Högy, P., Wizemann, H.-D., Streck, T.
  
• Controls on microbially regulated soil organic carbon decomposition at the regional scale
  2018: Ali, R. S., Kandeler, E., Marhan, S., Demyan, M. S., Ingwersen, J., Mirzaeitalarposhti, R., Rasche, F., Cadisch, G., Poll, C.
  
• Uncertainty, sensitivity and improvements in soil moisture estimation with cosmic-ray neutron sensing
  2018: Baroni, G., Scheiffele, L. M., Schrön, M., Ingwersen, J., Oswald, S. E.
  
• Dynamics of soil respiration and microbial communities: Interactive controls of temperature and substrate quality
  2018: Ali, R. S., Poll, C., Kandeler, E.
  
• Physiological and proteomic evidence for the interactive effects of post-anthesis heat stress and elevated CO2 on wheat
  2018: Zhang, X., Högy, P., Wu, X., Schmid, I., Wang, X., Schulze, W.X., Jiang, D., Fangmeier, A.
  
• Mid-infrared spectroscopy to support regional-scale digital soil mapping on selected croplands of South-West Germany
  2017: Mirzaeitalarposhti R., Demyan M.S., Rasche F., Cadisch G., Müller T.
  
• Land-atmosphere coupling in EURO-CORDEX evaluation experiments
  2017: Knist, S., Goergen, K., Buonomo, E., Christensen, O. B., ...Warrach-Sagi, K., Wulfmeyer, V., Simmer, C.
  
• 3D water vapor field in the atmospheric boundary layer observed with scanning differential absorption lidar
  2016: Späth, F., Behrendt, A., Muppa, S. K., Metzendorf, S., Riede, A., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Overcoming carbonate interference on labile soil organic matter peaks for midDRIFTS analysis
  2016: Mirzaeitalarposhti, R., Demyan, M.S., Rasche, F., Cadisch, G., Müller, T.
  
• Dealing with uncertainty in agent-based simulation: Farm-level modeling of adaptation to climate change in Southwest Germany
  2015: Troost, C., Berger, T.
  
• Modelling in situ activities of enzymes as a tool to explain seasonal variation of soil respiration from agro-ecosystems
  2015: Ali, R. S., Ingwersen, J., Demyan, M. S., Funkuin, Y. N., Wizemann, H.-D., Kandeler, E., Poll, C.
  
• Simulation-based projections of crop management and gross margin variance in contrasting regions of Southwest Germany
  2015: Parker, P., Reinmuth, E., Ingwersen, J., Högy, P., Priesack, E., Wizemann, H.-D., Aurbacher, J.
  
• Climate, energy and environmental policies in agriculture: Simulating likely farmer responses in Southwest Germany
  2015: Troost, C., Walter, T., Berger, T.
  
• Quantifying the economic importance of irrigation water reuse in a Chilean watershed using an integrated agent-based model
  2015: Arnold, R. T., Troost, C., Berger, T.
  
• Development of a continuous density gradient method for soil organic matter fractionation for studying decomposition and turnover under different tillage systems in arable soils
  2015: Islam T.
  
• Determining the spatial and temporal dynamics of the green vegetation fraction of croplands using high-resolution RapidEye satellite images
  2015: Imukova, K., Ingwersen, J., Streck, T.
  
• Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth: Many models are better than one
  2015: Martre, P., Wallach, D., Asseng, S. et al.
  
• CO2 dose-response functions for wheat grain, protein and mineral yield based on FACE and open-top chamber experiments
  2015: Pleijel, H., Högy, P.
  
• Three year observations of water vapor and energy fluxes over agricultural crops in two regional climates of Southwest Germany
  2015: Wizemann, H.-D., Ingwersen, J., Högy, P., Warrach-Sagi, K., Streck, T., Wulfmeyer, V.
  
• Design and performance of a new FACE (free air carbon dioxide enrichment) system for crop and short vegetation exposure
  2016: Fangmeier, A., Torres-Toledo, V., Franzaring, J., Damsohn, W.
  
• Spatial and temporal variability of soil water content in two regions of Southwest Germany during a three-year observation period
  2016: Poltoradnev, M., Ingwersen, J., Streck, T.
  
• Simulating structural change in agriculture: Modelling farming households and farm succession
  2016: Troost, C., Berger, T.,
  
• Experimental measurement of stakeholder expectation formation and risk taking behavior for integrated regional agricultural land use modeling
  2016: Eisele, M., Troost, C., Berger, T.
  
• German Farmers' Perception of Climate Change Effects and Determinants influencing their Climate Awareness
  2016: Jänecke, A., Eisele, M., Reinmuth, E., Steinbach, J., Aurbacher, J.
  
• Advances in probabilistic and parallel agent‐based simulation: Modelling climate change adaptation in agriculture
  2016: Troost, C., Berger, T.,
  
• Impact of spatial soil and climate input data aggregation on regional yield simulations
  2016: Hoffmann, H., Zhao, G., Asseng, S., Bindi, M., Biernath, C.,...Heinlein, F.,...Priesack, E., et al.
  
• Spatial sampling of weather data for regional crop yield simulations
  2016: van Bussel, L.G.J., Ewert, F., Zhao, G., Hoffmann, H., Enders, A., Wallach, D., Constantin, J., Raynal, H., Klein, C., Biernath, C., Heinlein, F., Priesack, F., Tao, F., et al.
  
• On the use of the post-closure methods uncertainty band to evaluate the performance of land surface models against eddy covariance flux data
  2015: Ingwersen, J., Imukova, K., Högy, P., Streck, T.